BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 47 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =   89.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2021 Home    W    80.76  41  14   1B 103 (  1- 10) Southern Utah          -7.94 *   34.94                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    W    95.80  37  10   1A 108 (  2- 10) UNLV                    7.11     19.89                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    L    83.29  17  27   1A  46 ( 10-  2) Brigham Young          -5.40     -4.60                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W *  96.27  35  13   1A  90 (  4-  8) Colorado                7.57     14.43                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    W * 113.36  42  23   1A  31 (  8-  4) UCLA                   24.67     -5.67                      
  6 10/08/2021 Home    W *  90.53  28  10   1A 101 (  3-  9) Stanford                1.84     16.16                      
  7 10/16/2021 Away    L *  85.24  21  35   1A  12 (  9-  3) Utah                   -3.46    -10.54                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    L *  70.48  21  34   1A  57 (  7-  5) Washington St         -18.21      5.21                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  94.05  31  16   1A  74 (  4-  7) Southern Cal            5.36      9.64                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    W *  89.59  35  30   1A  71 (  4-  8) Washington              0.90      4.10                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  77.56  10  24   1A  45 (  7-  5) Oregon St             -11.14     -2.86                      
 12 11/27/2021 Home    W *  90.94  38  15   1A 109 (  1- 11) Arizona                 2.24     20.76                      
      Averages              88.99  29.7 20.9

Best game:  113.36 = 19 point win over UCLA
Worst game:  70.48 = 13 point loss to Washington St
Team stdev:  10.93